Book

Rock breaks scissors: a practical guide to outguessing and outwitting almost everybody

by  William Poundstone

Description

Rock breaks scissors is based on a simple principle: people are unable to act randomly. Instead they display unconscious patterns that the savvy person can outguess. The principle applies to friends playing rock, paper, scissors for a bar tab as well as to the crowds that create markets for homes and stocks. With a gift for distilling psychology and behavioral economics into accessible advice, Poundstone proves that outguessing is easy, fun, and often profitable

Table Of Contents

  • The outguessing machine
  • The randomness experiment. The zenith broadcast
  • How to outguess rock, paper, scissors
  • How to outguess multiple-choice tests
  • How to outguess the lottery
  • How to outguess tennis serves
  • How to outguess baseball and football
  • How to outguess soccer penalty kicks
  • How to outguess card games
  • How to outguess passwords
  • How to outguess crowd-sourced ratingsn
  • How to outguess fake numbers
  • How to outguess manipulated numbers
  • How to outguess Ponzi schemes
  • Thehot hand theory. In the zone
  • How to outguess basketball bracket pools
  • How to outguess office football pools
  • How to outguess Oscar pools
  • How to outguess big data
  • How to outguess retail prices
  • How to outguess home prices
  • How to outguess the future
  • How to outguess the stock market
  • Fortune's wheel

Subject

Prediction (Psychology) / Choice (Psychology) / Human behavior

Details

Published New York, NY : Little, Brown and Company, 2014
Language English
Material viii, 302 p.
ISBN 0316371491 / 9780316371490
Location
TCDC Bangkok - General Collection

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